1161 | 478 | The Impact of pandemic COVID-19 on components of actual increase in Poland | Mateusz Długosz, Robert Szmytkie

The COVID-19 pandemic contributed to changes in population trends observed in Poland. First, it was evident in terms of increased mortality, directly – as a result of coronavirus cases, and indirectly – as a result of the obstruction of the health care system. This resulted in an increase in the death rate. Furthermore, uncertainty caused by the pandemic has contributed to a reduction in the birth rate, exacerbating the natural decrease in the population. However, limited mobility and economic lockdown had an impact on reducing construction traffic in various parts of the country, which then contributed to a decrease in the spatial mobility of the population. In both cases, the observed changes were related to the components of actual increase, i.e., the basic factors of population change. The purpose of the study is to identify the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on changes in the components of the actual increase in municipalities in Poland. For this purpose, municipalities in Poland will be analyzed in terms of changes in the values of the components of real growth: natural increase and net migration, in two time periods: 2017-2019 and 2019-2021. This will make it possible to assess the impact of pandemic COVID-19 on population trends in municipalities in Poland.

Mateusz Długosz, Robert Szmytkie
(1) University of Wrocław
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